Arbor Realty Trust’s Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report Q4 2025, developed in partnership with Chandan Economics, outlines the long-term positives reinforcing the sector’s growth amid macroeconomic uncertainty. With capital market activity poised to increase, small multifamily’s healthy fundamentals position it to trend higher in the next cycle.

Small Balance Market Resiliency Comes into Focus to Start 2019
Ever since the Federal Reserve increased short-term interest rates in the waning days of 2018, the conversation has shifted from when will rates rise again to will the Fed have to lower rates?
Markets currently peg the probability of at least one rate cut in 2019 at about even odds. However, this does not mean a downturn is imminent. By several measures, the economy is performing at its highest capacity of any point since before the financial crisis.
Whether a period of economic weakness is years away or just around the corner, the small balance multifamily sector is projected to remain healthy.
For more on the small balance multifamily sector, read Arbor Chatter’s “Q1 2019 Small Balance Multifamily Investment Trends Report.”
Explore charts and insights, including:
- Lending Volume
- Cap Rates & Spreads
- Interest Rates
- Leverage & Debt Yields