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The state of housing affordability in the U.S. has continued to erode as a growing wave of supply-driven policies offers hope of a solution on the horizon. A closer look at the nation’s overall housing needs underscores the increasing urgency of the situation.

Driven by investor confidence in multifamily housing’s long-term fundamentals, the volume of debt outstanding in the sector has grown by nearly 150% since the end of the Great Recession. As this piece will detail, where investment dollars have flowed, housing demand has followed. Through an analysis of newly released U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey data, our research teams pinpoint the growing size and scope of the largest rental housing property type.

Even as the single-family rental (SFR) sector has attracted increased investor activity, the total number of SFR households has moderated due to the influence of overarching housing trends.

In this video, Dr. Sam Chandan, Founding Director of the C.H. Chen Institute for Global Real Estate Finance at the NYU Stern School of Business and non-executive chairman of Chandan Economics, discusses key takeaways from Arbor’s Affordable Housing Trends Report Fall 2023.

The pandemic-era federal and state eviction moratoriums put extreme financial pressure on many in the affordable housing sector. With that issue stabilized and with the recent drop in rates, “many borrowers are now finding that the time is now right to recapitalize or close new affordable housing loans that many borrowers had understandably delayed,” said Arthanais Williams, Managing Director of Affordable Housing at Arbor Realty Trust.

A nationwide housing shortage of rental homes, coupled with the rising costs of homeownership, has fueled the popularity of high-quality, affordable single-family rental (SFR)/build-to-rent (BTR) homes. In recent years, SFR/BTR construction starts have consistently reached new highs. In today’s economic environment, where mortgage payments are more expensive than rent payments in many markets, build-to-rent loans are a forward-thinking investment strategy.

The SFR sector is well-positioned to limit distress through the challenges of the current moment while advancing its standing within the single-family housing market for the long term.

Following a banner year in 2022, the U.S. multifamily market held steady during 2023. Arbor provided research and insights into our markets throughout the year. Here’s a look at our top Arbor research articles from 2023, in case you missed them.

Miami — a market with an attractive climate, urban amenities, and quality transportation options — has seen intense post-pandemic population growth. While its resurgence has been celebrated by many, Miami’s success has come at the cost of weakening rental affordability in the city.

For low-income renters, affordability is a deeply rooted issue. Since 2010, rental affordability has consistently and severely eroded in the U.S., with average rents growing faster annually than average incomes more than 72% of the time. As renters face increased inflationary pressures, state and local governments are exploring a mix of creative and tried-and-true solutions to expand the affordable housing supply.