Current Reports

Affordable Housing Trends Report Winter 2024/2025

Continually challenged by low inventory, affordable housing sits at a crossroads following the 2024 election. Incoming leadership plans to introduce market-based principles to an agenda that may also include an expanded Housing Choice Voucher program. Arbor’s Affordable Housing Trends Report Winter 2024/2025, developed in partnership with Chandan Economics, provides insight into a pivotal multifamily sector about to embark in a new direction.

Articles

Investors Upbeat on Multifamily as Rate Cuts Stimulate Deal Activity

The skies surrounding commercial real estate markets are clearing, suggest the Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2025 (ETRE 2025) findings. As pandemic-related structural changes settle into place, cyclical economic trends, such as interest rates, demand, and construction levels, are now the key drivers to watch.

Articles

Annual Build-to-Rent Starts Hit Another High in Q3 2024

As more single-family rental (SFR) operators rely on build-to-rent (BTR) development to supply new inventory, construction starts have steadily risen, reaching another record high in the third quarter of 2024. SFR/BTR construction has eclipsed 92,000 units in the last four quarters — an all-time high and an annual increase of 31.4%.

Articles

LIHTC Program: An Impactful Affordable Housing Financing Resource

As renters face a national shortage of 7 million low-income rental homes, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s (HUD) Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) program is pivotal in helping to close the affordability gap for renters. It is the nation’s most significant resource for affordable apartment housing construction, which gives state and local agencies approximately $10 billion in annual budget authority to issue tax credits for affordable housing development.

Articles

FHFA Loan Caps for 2025: What Multifamily Borrowers Need to Know

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced a $3 billion boost to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s volume cap for loan purchases in 2025 to $146 billion ($73 billion for each agency). This increase in FHFA loan caps for 2025 aligns with industry expectations, given the anticipation of improving market conditions and lending activity expected in a lower interest rate environment. Next year’s cap for the Government-Sponsored Entities (GSEs) is an increase of approximately 4% from the $140 billion limit set for 2024.

Analysis

U.S. Multifamily Market Snapshot — November 2024

The U.S. multifamily market held steady in a more normalized cycle through the first three quarters of 2024, following its skyrocketing recovery from the pandemic-related contraction. Rental demand remained strong, driven by the continued nationwide housing shortage and strong wage growth, while the high levels of new construction seen over the last two years appears to have peaked.

Current Reports

Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report Q4 2024

Small multifamily’s normalization pushed forward last quarter as the Federal Reserve made a long-awaited reduction to the target federal funds rate. Arbor’s Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report Q4 2024, developed in partnership with Chandan Economics, shows signs of stability have multiplied. Robust rental demand, a limited supply of quality affordable housing, and several other promising developments should support the subsector’s strength heading into 2025.

Analysis

Top U.S. Multifamily Rent Growth Markets — Q3 2024

The U.S. multifamily market held steady in a more normalized cycle during the third quarter of 2024. Rental demand remained strong, while new leaders emerged among the top markets for rent growth.

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Ivan Kaufman Interview on Bloomberg Markets

Ivan Kaufman, the chairman and CEO of Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:ABR), discussed how multifamily housing is maintaining stability during COVID-19. In a “Bloomberg Markets” interview with anchor Alix Steel, he also explained, in particular, the growth in value of suburban housing.

“People have been paying their rent on the multifamily side. Collections are off only 1% to 2%,” said Kaufman. “Despite the dislocation, it has been a great performing asset.” He noted that the extension of federal aid, which will allow people to continue to pay rent, will be critical for the housing market.

The country’s reducing unemployment and getting the coronavirus under control are two factors that will affect the housing situation, Kaufman stated.

The real estate expert and entrepreneur made several additional noteworthy observations. “Homeownership is approaching 68%, the highest rate since prior to the Great Recession. So, this trend, which started before COVID, now has been accelerated,” he said. “People are moving out of the cities. The social unrest, schools, all of these factors are leading to people moving to the suburbs.”

Kaufman commented that the inventory is now very limited in the suburbs. He projected this will lead to price appreciation both for owner-occupied and single-family rental homes.

Adding perspective to today’s overall economic situation, he pointed out that commercial real estate is a $14 trillion industry. “There are three asset classes that are doing extraordinarily well: multifamily, single-family rentals, and industrial. Sixty percent of the asset classes are performing exceptionally well,” he said.

The hospitality and retail sectors are still suffering. However, suburban offices are reaping some benefits from the demand for less density, driven by COVID-19. “I think it’s going to be a mixed bag. Clearly, there are a lot of people evaluating urban offices and suburban satellites.” He opined people will need to continue to watch the landscape for the next six to 12 months, to see the extent of the impacts of a suburban workforce.

View the complete Bloomberg TV interview above.

Learn more about Arbor Realty Trust’s multifamily housing loans. Contact Arbor today to speak with a specialist about our different financing solutions.