While national multifamily permitting stabilizes, the authorization of new apartment buildings with five or more units has become more heavily concentrated in smaller, rapidly growing metropolitan areas. From Durham, NC, to Fayetteville, AR, and Raleigh, NC, new U.S. Census Bureau data reveal where multifamily permitting was most concentrated and where it was accelerating fastest in the first half of 2026.
Small multifamily lending activity rose during the first half of 2026. According to the latest Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report from Arbor Realty Trust and Chandan Economics, originations on loans with original balances between $1 million and $9 million reached an annualized pace of $71.6 billion through the second quarter. At this pace, originations are running 2.8% above the $69.6 billion total for 2025, placing small multifamily on pace for a third consecutive annual increase.
Arbor Realty Trust’s latest Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report, developed in partnership with Chandan Economics, evaluates what’s driving this sector’s ongoing stability as macroeconomic conditions remain mixed. Loan originations rose last quarter, and valuations are rebounding, signaling that normalization is taking hold.
Single-family rental (SFR) conditions strengthened during the first half of 2026, with rents rising across all 50 of the nation’s largest metros between December 2025 and June 2026. Growth was broad-based but uneven, with many Northeast and Midwest markets outperforming major Sun Belt metros.
Arbor’s summer internship program is a key part of our ongoing initiative to nurture talent and shape future leaders through programs, such as Fannie Mae’s DUS Summer Series, and networking opportunities.
This year’s data show that while multifamily completions moderated from 2024’s elevated pace, the sector’s shift toward larger properties continued. At the same time, larger has not necessarily meant taller, as lower-rise buildings continue to account for most new multifamily completions.
The single-family rental (SFR) sector continued to demonstrate resilience through early 2026, supported by stable occupancy, positive rent growth, and improving capital markets activity.
In his latest Arbor Realty Trust video, Dr. Sam Chandan, a leading commercial real estate scholar, shares his insights into the findings of our latest Top Markets for Multifamily Investment Report, developed in partnership with Chandan Economics. The noted NYU professor outlines the market-level results of the Arbor-Chandan Opportunity Matrix, which spotlights multifamily markets that offer optimal value to commercial real estate investors.
While the impact of COVID-19 contributed to a 0.9% decline in small multifamily prices in the first quarter of 2020, they are still up 5.5% from a year ago.
Chandan Economics’ analysis noted that annualized first-quarter small multifamily loan value fell to $55.2 billion, representing a 6.7% decline in lending activity compared to last year. Yet the report provides reasons for reassurance. The dependability of underlying multifamily demand and the agencies’ commitment to providing programs that maintain market liquidity support the sector’s traditional resiliency. Even with the uncertainties caused by the coronavirus, multifamily is expected to outperform other sectors.
Download the full report, “Q1 2020 Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report,” for the latest updates covering the following:
