Even as the Omicron variant evades our collective vaccine protection and prompts recalibrated expectations for the new year, our economic sensitivity to the viral threat is markedly less than it was in spring 2020. A potential outcome is the pandemic will gradually fade into a highly contagious though comparatively manageable endemic through this upcoming year and beyond.
The single-family rental sector (SFR) enjoyed its best year on record in 2021, as demographic and pandemic-related forces combined with growing investment enthusiasm. This report provides an in-depth look at the SFR market with exclusive data and analysis on its performance. Key Findings: Cap rates dipped to 5.3% in fourth-quarter 2021 — a new all-time low Vacant-to-occupied (V2O) annual rent growth remains robust, hitting 13.5% through October Occupancy rates edge down to 94.8% in the third quarter, just 50 bps off their generational high Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
The initial year-end 2021 estimate of new multifamily lending volume on loans with original balances between $1 million and $7.5 million1 — including loans for apartment building sales and refinancing — surged to $85.4 billion. The estimate is a substantial step-up from previous 2021 annualized estimates, reflecting a sizable increase in originations at the end of the third quarter through the end of the year.
Our quarterly report on the current and emerging small multifamily investment trends features data and research from Chandan Economics. The report reviews the state of the market, identifying trends in underwriting, financing, cap rates, valuation and more. In the report, you’ll learn how small multifamily properties differ from larger properties, and the forces driving their investment performance. Key Findings: Small multifamily originations jump by 48.1% in 2021, reaching $85.4 billion. The refinancing share of originations has settled back near a normal, pre-pandemic range. Asset prices rose a robust 9.7% from a year earlier. Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
The general sentiment of the 2022 NMHC Annual Meeting seemed positive—reflecting strong performance of multifamily assets, high transaction volumes through 2021, and optimism for a good year ahead. Of the many dynamic topics presented on-stage and overheard in the corridors during the 2022 NMHC Annual Meeting, three that merit special mention and industry consideration for the year ahead are: shifts in renter preferences, rent control, and institutional excitement for single-family rentals.
How will inflation, tightening monetary policy, and labor shortages affect housing in 2022? Ivan Kaufman, Arbor Realty Trust’s Chairman and CEO, and Sam Chandan, NYU Stern professor and founder of Chandan Economics, reflect on the past year and the year ahead in this special report. Key Findings: Labor shortages and a consumption shift toward goods over services are key factors contributing to supply chain disruptions, stoking inflation. The Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening is front and center heading into the new year as the central bank anticipates three rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, setting the stage for higher costs of capital. Historically low vacancy rates reflect a rental housing market where household demand continues to exceed available supply. Changes in where and how people work are allowing Americans to choose housing options across a wider geographic area. Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
As the U.S. commercial real estate market continued its recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic-related recession in 2021, the multifamily and single-family rental sectors proved their resilience. Throughout the year we continued to provide unique research and insights into these markets. Here’s a look at our top Arbor Chatter posts from 2021, in case you missed them.
From in-depth reports to impactful articles, Arbor is your source for exclusive content about key trends impacting investment within commercial real estate markets, including multifamily, single-family rentals, and affordable housing.
What’s topping the checklists of property management concerns? A New York Build 2020 Expo panel agreed that in the upcoming decade, multifamily property owners will need to focus on two areas: amenities and legal requirements. Renovations Needed to Stay Competitive Owners will need to invest in upgrading their properties to stay current with tenants’ changing lifestyles. “With almost every lobby renovation, one of the key challenges is where do all the packages go and how do you distribute them,” said William T. Payne, principal at O&S Engineers & Architects. “What if the mailroom is way too small for Amazon?” More residents are ordering deliveries of not just meals but now groceries. Payne stated this raises additional security issues with more people knocking on the door. He also noted the rising demand for bicycle parking and charging stations for electric vehicles. With these types of property upgrades, owners need to be honest in their requests for proposals (RFPs), said Carmen Rainieri, regional director at Skanska. This includes providing accurate information about pricing and logistics. In working with contractors and consultants, “collaboration Read the full article…
Boston’s strong labor market and new lifestyle amenities are translating into greater success for the metro’s small multifamily sector.
More single-family rental households are turning to newly constructed build-to-rent properties, and recent data points to room for continued growth.
Young adults in STEM plus the Arts ISTEAM) professions now dominate the multifamily market with shifts in their income and housing.
We’re proud to introduce “Entrepreneurial to the Core,” a new ongoing series from Arbor’s President and CEO Ivan Kaufman.
Operators need to prepare for skilled nursing facility surveys, which will help them obtain financing.
Arbor and Chandan economics review housing trends by occupations including the movement and growth of apartment renters in tech.
HUD has removed its three-year requirement for section 223(f) refinancing.
Arbor Realty Trust and Chandan Economics analyze trends of who is living in single-family rentals, small multifamily and large multifamily housing.
The Milken Institute’s Best-Performing Cities series has been used by real estate investors for two decades to identify strong markets and guide future investment. Here’s a look at some of the cities that topped the 2020 list.