Arbor’s Single-Family Rental Investment Trends Report Q2 2022, published in partnership with Chandan Economics, finds flourishing growth and a firmly positive outlook for the sector amid a challenging macroeconomic cycle. High demand, a countercyclical business model, and the ability to absorb inflation will likely continue to propel the SFR market upwards.
The U.S. multifamily posted a historic showing in the second quarter of 2022. Among nation’s top markets for rent growth, the Sunbelt markets continued to shine.
Rent Growth and New Construction Trend Higher as Cap Rates Edge Lower The single-family rental market (SFR) is flourishing even as growth slows in many other sectors. The immediate outlook for SFR remains firmly positive as a bedrock of demand, a countercyclical business model, and the ability to absorb inflation propel SFR upwards in a challenging macroeconomic cycle. Key Findings: Vacant-to-occupied rent growth surges again, reaching 14.8% year-over-year. Cap rates slide back to 5.3%, just above all-time lows. Build-to-rent construction starts totaled 57,000 over the past year, a new record high. Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
Throughout history, rental housing has typically stayed stable amidst economic pressures due to cyclical forces present in the market, Arbor Realty Trust’s CEO and Chairman Ivan Kaufman and Chandan Economics’ Founder Sam Chandan write in Arbor’s Special Report | Summer 2022. Key Findings: The Federal Reserve continues to engage in aggressive monetary tightening. The rental housing sector is well-positioned to withstand growing economic headwinds because the cyclical forces that lower homeownership rates also historically have increased rental housing demand. Superstar cities must undertake strategies to address affordability and livability concerns to compete in a remote-work economy. Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
Throughout history, rental housing has typically stayed stable amidst economic pressures due to cyclical forces present in the market, Arbor Realty Trust’s CEO and Chairman Ivan Kaufman and Chandan Economics’ Founder Sam Chandan write in Arbor’s Special Report | Summer 2022.
A Message from Ivan Kaufman In celebration of you as a top producer, and in appreciation for your contributions to our prosperous performance, John and I are pleased to invite you and your spouse to join us at this year’s President’s Circle event at Stanly Ranch in Napa, California. It takes an extremely high level of commitment to achieve this recognition, and we congratulate you on a job well done. You are a critical member of our team, and your continuing excellence helps Arbor position itself as a leader in our highly competitive industry. We look forward to an extraordinary few days together. Ivan Kaufman
Arbor’s Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report Q2 2022, published in partnership with Chandan Economics, takes an up-close look at a sector poised to benefit from a unique set of market forces. As cap rates compress to record lows, more buyers are pursuing inflation protection in the multifamily sector and the small asset subsector.
Our quarterly report on the current and emerging small multifamily investment trends features data and research from Chandan Economics. The report reviews the state of the market, identifying trends in underwriting, financing, cap rates, valuation and more. In the report, you’ll learn how small multifamily properties differ from larger properties, and the forces driving their investment performance. Key Findings: Small multifamily originations are on pace to hit $91.1 billion in 2022, just shy of 2021’s record high. Cap rates reached a new record low in the second quarter, declining to 5.0%. Amid surging rents and property-level incomes, expense ratios have returned to pre-pandemic levels. Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
Smaller metros offer a balance of affordable apartment rentals and growing economic opportunity that is increasingly catching the eye of transient Millennials. Millennials comprise an increasing share of the adult rental population moving from larger to smaller urban centers across asset types.
The Las Vegas multifamily market led the nation with the highest rent growth during 2018, driven by strong migration trends and a high concentration of prime-age workers. A rise in new construction bolstered a slight increase in the vacancy rate, yet it remained among the lowest nationally.
The U.S. multifamily market further solidified itself as the premier real estate asset class in 2018. Rents increased for the third consecutive year, while vacancy rates remained low despite historically high levels of development activity. Low cap rates and rising prices didn’t restrain investment activity. Given the favorable demographics surrounding the sector, multifamily investors can expect these trends to continue in 2019.
As the generation behind Millennials, known as Gen Z, begins to reach adulthood, the apartment market seems ready for a reset. Property managers will need to adjust their strategies to maintain their assets’ appeal.
The renewed economic and cultural dynamism of smaller U.S. metros has pulled apartment rents up, while the housing crisis in the Golden State remains unrelenting. Of the 10 metros that showed the highest average rent increases for small apartment buildings, the majority comprised medium-sized urban centers.
Despite significant pressure from rising interest rates through most of 2018, the small balance multifamily market ended the year strong, with consistent liquidity and borrowing capacity. Whether the macroeconomic and real estate cycles continue to lengthen or begin to see a modest pullback, the multifamily sector is poised to outperform other property types.
Multifamily owners and managers gathered for a panel at the NMHC Apartment Strategies Outlook Conference in San Diego to discuss the strategies they’re implementing to attract the right employees and entice them to stay with the organization for the long term.
Speaking at the National Multifamily Housing Council’s 2019 Apartment Strategies Outlook Conference, MIT AgeLab Director Joseph Coughlin discussed how population shifts and changing generational behaviors could be the greatest disruptor for the housing market.
California included four of the five most expensive metros in the nation for apartment rentals, across both small and large asset multifamily.
Small asset multifamily has displayed sound price fundamentals, with year-end 2017 average rent growth maintaining the upward trend of the previous year, according to the latest Census data. Small apartment buildings offer a unique blend of urban-core proximity and relatively larger apartment unit sizes.