Analysis

Small Multifamily Investment Snapshot — March 2025

Amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, the small multifamily sector remains favorably positioned for stability as the structural need for affordable housing in the U.S. has supported the strength of the sector’s demand profile.

Articles

Top Markets for Rental Occupancy

Nationally, vacancies have risen, but the performance of rental housing is extremely localized. Out of the 75 largest U.S. metropolitan areas, the occupancy rate for all types of rental properties, including single-family rentals, 2-4 family, multifamily, and mobile homes, increased in 36 markets last year, while exceeding 95% in nearly one-third of all markets, according to an analysis of newly released U.S. Census Bureau data.[1] From Grand Rapids, MI, to Columbia, SC, the top markets for rental occupancy show where conditions are tightest and demand is strongest.

Current Reports

Single-Family Rental Investment Trends Report Q1 2025

Arbor’s Single-Family Rental Investment Trends Report Q1 2025, published in partnership with Chandan Economics, is an up-close look at the single-family rental (SFR) sector as it enters a period of normalcy after explosive pandemic-era growth. SFR maintains its balance with the support of a healthy set of fundamentals while capital markets rebound and rent growth moderates.

Articles

Small Multifamily Price Growth Trends Show Stabilization

Small multifamily price growth trends indicate a stabilization may be ready to take hold. Expanding on the findings of Arbor’s latest Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report, our research teams more closely examined valuations to determine if trends in pricing and other fundamentals are supporting a turnaround.

Articles

SFR Rent Growth: Top Markets and Leading Regions

Elevated mortgage interest rates and high home prices boosted demand for single-family rentals (SFR) last year, supporting the growth of rents in almost all of the 100 largest metropolitan areas. Pricing momentum, which averaged 4.5% nationally, was concentrated in affordable markets in the Northeast and Midwest, an analysis of Zillow’s Observed Rent Index data shows.

Articles

Build-to-Rent’s Robust Activity Settles into Stable Pattern

Increasingly, single-family rental (SFR) operators have been relying on build-to-rent (BTR) development to satisfy their inventory needs. The popularity of BTR communities made economies of scale possible for the SFR sector in the recovery after the 2007 housing crisis and continues to fill a housing need nationwide. Now, newly released U.S. Census Bureau data shows that SFR development activity remained robust even as its momentum slowed, moving the sector into a more stable equilibrium.

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Ivan Kaufman Points to the COVID-19 Market Favoring Multifamily Investments

CNBC Squawk On the Street Interview With Ivan Kaufman on Current Real Estate Trends

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:ABR), one of the largest national mortgage finance lenders in the multifamily sector, has demonstrated strong performance throughout the COVID-19 crisis. The company’s Chairman and CEO Ivan Kaufman spoke with CNBC’s David Faber on “Squawk on the Street,” to shed light on the current state of multifamily and future market projections.

“Because of the government support by Fannie and Freddie providing multifamily financing to this nation, there has been minimal dislocation and normal liquidity,” Kaufman said. He added that interest rates are extraordinarily low, and the market has been active with refinancing as well as a significant reemergence of purchase activity.

Data indicates that thus far, the vast majority of tenants are paying their rent. In addition to the CARES Act and other supplemental payments, Kaufman attributed the positive outcome to a psychological factor in renters. “Their home is their castle. They’re working in their home. They’re living in their home. They are there 24/7. And they are keeping their home protected, so rents have been paid. It’s really a remarkable phenomenon,” he said.

However, the industry leader also warned of the possibility of “a perfect storm,” with the ending of the CARES Act and other governmental assistance, coupled with the expiration of eviction moratoriums. Kaufman pointed out that COVID-19 has accelerated the flight to the suburbs, a trend well underway prior to the pandemic. He noted the course of the viral threat, prolonged unemployment, and the denial of H-1B visas precluding people from coming into the country and occupying apartments could present additional challenges.

Arbor primarily finances affordable workforce housing, a segment which has not been as heavily impacted as other asset classes. “Our portfolio is fairly insulated,” said Kaufman. “In the urban areas where we don’t have a huge concentration, I think that’s where you’re going to have a little bit of an issue. In urban areas, I’d be concerned that there will be some softness.”

Yet even within the COVID-19 environment, aside from industrial, multifamily remains the number one asset class. Kaufman projected a future increase in multifamily property values due to low interest rates, significant cap rate compression and the sector’s ability to weather economic down cycles.

You can view the entire CNBC interview above.

Learn about Arbor’s financing options. Contact Arbor today to find out more about our multifamily products.

For more information on current real estate market trends, check out our Q2 Real Estate Investments Report and the Q2 Multifamily Investment Snapshot on the Chatter Blog.