Arbor Realty Trust’s Small Multifamily Investment Trends Report Q4 2025, developed in partnership with Chandan Economics, outlines the long-term positives reinforcing the sector’s growth amid macroeconomic uncertainty. With capital market activity poised to increase, small multifamily’s healthy fundamentals position it to trend higher in the next cycle.
The U.S. multifamily market demonstrated clear signs of stabilization during the third quarter of 2025, as supply imbalances eased and investment activity climbed.
Find answers to common questions about multifamily and single-family rental real estate financing.
As headwinds fade and transaction volume rises, market knowledge is a critical advantage to commercial real estate investors. The Arbor Realty Trust-Chandan Multifamily Opportunity Matrix analyzed a wide range of factors within the 50 largest U.S. metros to assess market strength and durability. From maturing, dynamic metros to affordable, opportunity-rich markets, our biannual report is a roadmap to the top locations for capital deployment.
Sponsors today are increasingly choosing bridge lending solutions to capitalize on opportunities during the lease-up and stabilization phases, with multifamily completions projected to remain elevated through 2030. Bridge loans, when paired with a lender equipped to support your investment needs from construction through permanent financing, can effectively position borrowers for long-term success.
The single-family rental (SFR) sector shows renewed operational strength, supported by higher occupancy rates and improving tenant retention even as home prices have softened in mid-2025.
After proving its resilience, the multifamily real estate sector is positioned to thrive in the next growth cycle. While uncertainties persist and risks remain, new federal policies and long-awaited interest rate relief have brought optimistic investors back to the table with a new sense of urgency.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which operate under the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s Duty to Serve Plan, have made financing workforce housing a central component of creating more equitable and sustainable access to quality rental housing. With a wide range of programs and incentives now available, investors have been increasingly securing stable and valuable opportunities, which can also improve the lives of cost-burdened middle-income professionals.
Small balance multifamily lending volume in the first half of 2019 totaled $58.5 billion on an annualized basis, representing a 7.9% gain from 2018’s total.
Whether the macroeconomic and real estate cycle continues to lengthen or we begin to see signs of a market correction, we can expect the small balance market to hold steady as lenders continue to maintain conservative underwriting. In the interim, favorable interest rates will elevate refinancing activity, and the sector’s continued maturation and increased agency support will continue to promote liquidity in the space.
For more insights on the small balance multifamily sector, read Arbor Chatter’s “Q2 2019 Small Balance Multifamily Investment Trends Report.”
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