Inflation concerns, new virus variants, tighter monetary policy and high construction costs are among the top factors set to impact multifamily in the year ahead. Read on for the full lookahead from Arbor and Chandan Economics.
UNIONDALE, NY (February 22, 2022) – Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:ABR), a real estate investment trust and national direct lender specializing in loan origination and servicing for multifamily, single-family rental (SFR) portfolios, seniors housing, healthcare, and other diverse commercial real estate assets, is pleased to announce the appointment of David E. Friedman, Executive Vice President, Syndicated Markets & Institutional Venture Lending Management. Mr. Friedman will lead Arbor’s loan syndicated lending platform, as well as develop strategic joint-venture lending partnerships that will allow Arbor to expand upon its existing loan origination capabilities. Further, he will manage those platforms as a member of Arbor’s executive committee, helping to grow upon another record-setting year of loan production. “David comes to Arbor with over two decades of experience in real estate finance, multifamily loan production and managing capital markets,” said Ivan Kaufman, Chairman and CEO of Arbor Realty Trust. “His expertise in these areas will help support our corporate growth strategy and we look forward to the many contributions he is certain to make during his tenure at Arbor Realty Trust.” Previously, Mr. Friedman Read the full article…
Multifamily rent growth for the U.S. overall was up 12.5% during 2021, the largest annual gain since REIS began tracking data in 1980. As was the case throughout the year, Florida markets were found up and down the list of top rent growth markets.
Despite a slow start to 2021, the U.S. multifamily market posted a record-breaking year. Rent growth was the highest since REIS began tracking data in 1980, as vacancy rates continued their downward trend. Investment sales also shattered previous records, while cap rates remained near historic lows and below those of other major property types.
The single-family rental sector (SFR) enjoyed its best year on record in 2021, as demographic and pandemic-related forces combined with growing investment enthusiasm. This report provides an in-depth look at the SFR market with exclusive data and analysis on its performance.
Even as the Omicron variant evades our collective vaccine protection and prompts recalibrated expectations for the new year, our economic sensitivity to the viral threat is markedly less than it was in spring 2020. A potential outcome is the pandemic will gradually fade into a highly contagious though comparatively manageable endemic through this upcoming year and beyond.
The single-family rental sector (SFR) enjoyed its best year on record in 2021, as demographic and pandemic-related forces combined with growing investment enthusiasm. This report provides an in-depth look at the SFR market with exclusive data and analysis on its performance. Key Findings: Cap rates dipped to 5.3% in fourth-quarter 2021 — a new all-time low Vacant-to-occupied (V2O) annual rent growth remains robust, hitting 13.5% through October Occupancy rates edge down to 94.8% in the third quarter, just 50 bps off their generational high Complete the form to instantly access the full report!
The initial year-end 2021 estimate of new multifamily lending volume on loans with original balances between $1 million and $7.5 million1 — including loans for apartment building sales and refinancing — surged to $85.4 billion. The estimate is a substantial step-up from previous 2021 annualized estimates, reflecting a sizable increase in originations at the end of the third quarter through the end of the year.
While rental housing costs remain high, the accelerated improvements in the U.S. economy have resulted in incomes that are rising slightly faster than rents.
While renters are gaining economic confidence, the issue of affordability still weighs heavily when considering a path to homeownership. According to Freddie Mac’s recent Profile of Today’s Renter report, a staggering 67% of renters consider renting as a more affordable alternative than homeownership.
As primary markets get increasingly expensive for housing, young adults at the beginning of their careers are moving into regional hubs. This movement is providing new growth opportunities for small asset investments.
One way to look at the drivers for Millennial demand across US metros is to consider their concentration. Their concentration is shown here as an index of the Millennial share in small properties (5 to 49 units) to their share in the wider metro population.
Here’s a quick look at the small balance multifamily finance and investment benchmarks for Q4 2017.
Los Angeles remained one of the more sought-after multifamily markets in the U.S. during 2017, as rent growth and investment volume ranked near the top nationally. The vacancy rate also remained low, despite an influx of new supply, and demand for additional housing remains high. The local economy has recovered from the recession, although high housing costs and restricted in-migration may slow expansion.
The Dallas multifamily market posted strong results in 2017 as rent growth continued and investment activity was high. Vacancy — driven by an influx of new supply — increased, though levels remained well below previous highs.
With a lower share of inventory located in flood-prone areas, small buildings are more conservative in their risk profile and offer value for investment across the apartment market. Resiliency and Risk Landscape for Small Buildings Recent reports point to a counter-intuitive trend of how home prices and apartment rents are growing faster in flood prone areas. This trend is explained by the premium associated with scenic locations such as beach fronts and waterways, since they are also the most-prone to flooding. This varies across metro areas and asset class. As shown below, based on data obtained from the American Housing Survey (AHS) 2015, around 8% of all small apartment building units in the United States were located within areas assessed with a high risk of flooding. In large buildings the share was slightly larger at 10%. The risk assessment for apartment buildings and their units varies greatly across metro areas. The data indicates that small buildings displayed a tighter spread around the national average compared to large buildings. An indication of the preference for scenic, albeit riskier, locations characterize the Read the full article…
Aided by growth in agency lending and refinancing activity, the volume of new multifamily loans with balances between $1 million and $5 million reached $49.8 billion during 2017
For their relatively lower rent levels, small apartment properties are surprisingly well-rated by their occupants, both in terms of unit quality and the neighborhoods in which they are located.